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Jindal HHS Secretary Possibility, Carson Out

Former Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal is in the running for Secretary of HHS. He has health care policy in his background. At just 24 years old, he served as secretary of the Louisiana Department of Health and Hospitals, and later served as principal policy adviser to HHS Secretary Tommy Thompson in President George W. Bush’s administration. Pence and Jindal served in the House together. 

Jindal has proposed Obamacare replacement plan, which he first released in 2014. Full report: More. Executive summary: More.

However, others are still in the mix, and Jindal was no fan of Trump during the Republican primaries. Jindal also attempted a run for president this cycle and then threw his support to Rubio. That could take him out of serious contention. 

Dr. Ben Carson, presidential nominee, has announced he will not be in the Trump Cabinet effectively taking himself out of the running for a series of Secretary positions to which his name has been linked.

New Member Orientation and the Perils of Lame Duck

After a bruising election, House and Senate are both back in session today to figure out how (and what) to move forward in the Lame Duck. The overall priority will be to find a way to fund the government into next year. Also on the agenda are a series of bills including the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), 21st Century Cures – a major funding measure for health care research, as well as the Water Resources Development bill. 

Congress will be in session for a week before recessing for the Thanksgiving break. New Members in both the House and Senate will be in town for orientation. Also up this week are party leadership elections in both the House and Senate. While Speaker Ryan appeared endangered prior to the election, the Republican leadership in the Senate and House is expected to be the same. The more interesting party to watch in leadership elections this week might be the Democrats in the House. They badly underperformed on Election Day, and allies of Representative Nancy Pelosi of California, the Democratic leader, have been busy trying to limit unrest over her continuing tenure. While, Pelosi is expected to remain leader, she needs to address rank-and-file frustration with life in the minority.

Show Me the Money
How will Congress approach funding? A stopgap through next spring has long been advocated by House conservatives. Prior to the election, an omnibus or series of smaller “minibus” packages was expected. Now with the House, Senate, and Administration all soon to be in Republican control, Republicans seem more inclined to pass a CR into the Spring of 2017 or even a full year CR, potentially with fully funding select FY 2017 measures already through the Appropriations Committee, than prior to the election. Exactly which measures that could be included for full year funding are still being discussed. It seems that House Republican leaders are leaning toward a CR, while Senate leaders appear to prefer a spending deal to wind up the FY 2017 this year.

Regardless, Congress still has to deal with the current President, and what he will sign, in the near term.
A CR until the spring would allow the new Administration to put its own stamp on spending within the first 100 days. That said, it will put another “must do” on the new Trump Agenda, which already has to shape FY 2018 spending as well as face an early (and highly unpopular with conservatives) vote on raising the debt limit, and will further complicate the Trump agenda of what to do with Obamacare, tax reform, immigration reform, infrastructure measure and more. 

That situation was complicated late last week by the $11.6 billion war supplemental the Obama Administration sent to Congress. It includes $5.8 billion in Overseas Contingency Operations funding for the Pentagon and another $5.8 billion in OCO money for the State Department and the U.S. Agency for International Development. That funding could go a long way to bridging the $18 billion defense funding gap between House leaders and the White House.

Other Items

The NDAA, which is Congress’s annual need-to-pass defense fiscal policy bill, is currently being held up over a dispute over an endangered bird and LGTB rights is holding up the legislation. The White House has threatened to veto the annual bill if, among many other objections, it includes language that would allow federal contractors to discriminate against employees based on their sexual orientation. It is not clear yet if lawmakers will reach a compromise over the legislation before the end of the year.

Congressman Upton’s priority, 21st Century Cures, has also long been a possibility for the Lame Duck, but now its fate this Congress seems unclear.

The House and Senate passed widely different versions of WRDA in September, with the upper chamber’s bill being much broader. And while the House measure would authorize spending to help Flint, Mich. tackle its lead contamination crisis, the Senate’s bill would appropriate actual funding. 

Trump Chief of Staff and Senior Strategist Named

Reince Prebus and Steve Bannon have been named to key leadership positions in the West Wing for the Trump Administration.

Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus will serve as Trump’s White House chief of staff. Priebus has a long relationship with fellow Wisconsin Republican, House Speaker Paul Ryan. At just 44, Priebus is already among the longest-serving RNC chairmen and a prolific fundraiser.

Steve Bannon, the former executive chairman of Breitbart News, will be  senior adviser and chief strategist in the White House. The appointment of Bannon prompted harsh criticism and widespread alarm among political strategists. Bannon, , is described as a dangerous influence in a statement released Sunday by the ADL.

Bannon, 62, is a former naval officer and investment banker who is also closely associated with the white-nationalist “alt-right” movement. Bannon was the brains behind inviting the women who have accused Bill Clinton of sexual misconduct to be Trump’s guests at the second debate. 

The Southern Poverty Law Center, the Anti-Defamation League and the Council on American-Islamic Relations were among the groups that put out statements decrying Bannon last night.

Federal Relations will continue to update on key Administration positions as the information becomes available.

Pence to Head Transition

Today, President Elect Trump named his Vice President- Elect Mike Pence as the new head of the transition team with strong input from Senator Jeff Sessions (R-AL). Previously, the transition team was headed by long-time Trump supporter, Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ). The transition team is responsible for filling over 4000 positions within the new Administration, including those at the Cabinet-level.

Trump Agenda?

President-elect Donald Trump (PEOTUS) met with President Barack Obama this morning in the Oval Office at the White House (in what may be the most interesting meeting there in a long while). Trump and Vice President-elect Mike Pence also met with House Speaker Paul Ryan after the White House meeting, and Pence met with Vice President Joe Biden, too. Other intel, Pence has already called at discussed the transition with the presumptive Democratic Senate Leader, Chuck Schumer (D-NY), and has reached out to House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-CA).

What can we expect in the First 100 days of a Trump Administration? While many details are still unclear, there are some areas where we can expect both the White House and Congress to act. Congress next year will need to take on must-do items such as funding the government and raising the nation’s debt limit. Also to be expected are some sort of tax reform (likely cuts), Obamacare repeal and replacement, and immigration reform.

The slimmer House Republican majority will skew more conservative. We should expect elements of Ryan’s “Better Way” agenda that encompasses tax and health care overhauls, as well as national security and economic measures. could easily rise to the top of the agenda.

The tight margin in the Senate — where Republicans are in control but still are far from the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster — means that the party’s leaders are most likely to use the budget reconciliation process to move their agenda. That procedure would only require a simple majority to cut off debate and proceed to a final vote.

Ryan has already said that he would seek to use reconciliation to pass tax cuts,  which incidentally is deploying the same procedural tool that Democrats used in 2010 to pass the health care law.

On the campaign trail, Trump championed infrastructure spending and paid family leave during his campaign, which could attract Democratic support. Trump’s economic plan — a combination of tax cuts, new spending on immigration enforcement and tariffs on foreign goods — would explode the deficit, even if Congress were to scale back somewhat the $4.4 trillion tax cut that Trump rolled out Sept. 15 at the Economic Club of New York.