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Reconciliation Update

House Republicans are pushing forward with their reconciliation bill, an ambitious effort to enact the bulk of President Trump’s legislative agenda in a single package. Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) is determined to pass the final bill before Memorial Day, but obstacles remain as intraparty divisions and strong Democratic opposition threaten to complicate the process.

So far, two major steps in the reconciliation process have been completed. First, Congress adopted a budget resolution that outlines the framework for reconciliation, allowing lawmakers to fast-track legislation. Second, key committees—including Energy & Commerce, Ways & Means, Education & Workforce, and Agriculture—held exhaustive markups, working late into the night to finalize their respective proposals and move them out of committee.

Now, these committee proposals must be consolidated into a single reconciliation bill by the House Budget Committee. Once packaged into a bill, the House Rules Committee will set the terms for debate and determine how amendments will be handled on the floor. After this, the bill will be brought to the full House for a vote. Speaker Johnson has expressed optimism that Republicans can unite behind the bill, but divisions within the GOP present challenges. Conservative members have called for deeper spending cuts, while moderate Republicans are concerned about provisions that reduce Medicaid funding. Meanwhile, Democrats remain firmly opposed, arguing that the bill prioritizes tax cuts for high-income individuals at the expense of essential social programs.

If the bill passes the House, it will head to the Senate for further consideration. Senate committees may review the bill and propose amendments, but reconciliation guidelines such as the Byrd Rule prevent non-budgetary provisions from being added. Unlike other types of legislation, reconciliation bills are not subject to filibuster, meaning debate is strictly limited to 20 hours and only a simple majority is required for passage.

Although Republicans hold a majority in the Senate, it is likely that they will make substantial modifications to the House proposal. If changes are made, the bill must return to the House for final approval before it can be sent to the President for signature. With the Memorial Day deadline approaching, lawmakers will have to navigate difficult negotiations and political pressure to push the bill through both chambers.

GOP Tax Package Advances Out of Committee

Early Wednesday morning, after more than 17 hours of debate, the House Ways and Means Committee voted to advance out of committee the legislative package containing a slew of President Trump’s top tax priorities. The panel advanced the legislation in a 26-19 party-line vote after rejecting numerous Democratic-led amendments.

The tax bill now heads to the House Budget Committee, which is tasked with combining all the portions of the Trump agenda bill into one package in advance of its consideration in the entire chamber.

The 389-page package makes the income tax rates from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 permanent and implements some of the president’s campaign promises, including no tax on tips or overtime through 2028 and a temporary increase of the child tax credit.

This bill also includes the Republican proposal to increase the endowment tax on some universities. Under the 2017 law, private universities with endowments of over $500,000 per student were subject to a 1.4% tax. The current GOP package creates a tiered excise tax system that would significantly increase taxes on some universities:

  • 1.4% tax for schools with endowments between $500,000 and $750,000 per student.
  • 7% tax for schools with endowments between $750,000 and $1.25 million per student.
  • 14% tax for schools with endowments between $1.25 million and $2 million per student.
  • 21% tax for schools with endowments above $2 million per student.

The bill also narrows the definition of students counted for tax calculations. International students on temporary visas and undocumented students will be excluded from the count, increasing the tax burden on institutions with large international student populations.

Crucially, the endowment tax would still only apply to private universities, although some religiously affiliated institutions will be exempt.

While voting the package out of committee is a significant step, there remains a strenuous process ahead of GOP leadership as they seek passage of the reconciliation legislation. The Ways and Means portion must be packaged together into one “big, beautiful bill” by the House Budget Committee before being voted on by the entire House, which will be difficult given concerns from different GOP factions and the razor-thin margin in the House. If the bill does manage to pass, it will be subject to potentially significant changes in the Senate, where it will also face staunch Democratic opposition.

Helpful links:

The Hill

Inside Higher Ed

 

 

Lutnick Confirmed as Commerce Secretary

By a vote of 51 – 45, the Senate confirmed Tuesday evening Howard Lutnick as the Secretary of Commerce.  While the issue of tariffs may be the most high profile issue under the jurisdiction of the department, a number of scientific and research agencies are also under its purview, including the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

During his confirmation hearing, a number of Senators asked him for his views about NOAA and reports of possible changes to the agency.  Though he expressed his support for the agency, he did not explicitly commit to keeping agency intact in its current form.

Johnson Elected as Speaker

After successful negotiations behind closed doors with two of the three Republican holdouts, Mike Johnson of Louisiana has been elected as Speaker for the 119th Congress by securing the 218 votes he needed.

Johnson Comes Up Short… for Now

Today is the first day of the 119th Congress, with Members of both chambers of Congress scheduled to be sworn in. Members of the Senate have been sworn in.  In order for that to occur in the House, it must first elect a Speaker.  During the first round of voting earlier this afternoon, Mike Johnson of Louisiana could not muster enough votes to win re-election to the position.  There are currently 434 Member-Elects in the House and he was able to win 216 votes in the first round; 218 votes are needed.  

With this vote still technically open and negotiations now taking place between Johnson’s team and the holdouts, it remains to be seen whether enough minds can be changed in the near future.

Please continue to check back for updates.