Population Health

November 4, 2020

New UW models show how COVID-19 can spread through a city

Image of a census tract map shows estimated ranges of the numbers of days to peak infectionA research team led by UC Irvine and the University of Washington has created a new model of coronavirus diffusion through a community.

This approach factors in network exposure — whom one interacts with — and demographics to simulate at a more detailed level both where and how quickly the coronavirus could spread through Seattle and 18 other major cities.

The result: Some neighborhoods peak sooner than others. And in every city, the virus sticks around far longer than some might expect.

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