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Deficit Committee Failure Likely

After a long weekend of negotiations and finger pointing, members of the Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction are all but ready to admit failure.  They will continue to work through the day Monday, but it appears unlikely that the eleventh-hour negotiations will yield a budget agreement before the deadline later tonight.  The barriers to success remain the same:  Democrats want more in revenues and Republicans want more in entitlement cuts.  Closed-door negotiations were held throughout the weekend and will continue late into Monday night as the panel seeks to meet its mandate of finding $1.2 trillion in deficit reduction over the next decade, otherwise automatic budget cuts will be triggered. The talks have been stalemated for two weeks, with Republicans unwilling to back any deal that goes beyond $250 billion in new tax revenue and Democrats seeking to prevent entitlement programs from deep cuts.

The panel’s deadline for advancing a proposal is midnight Wednesday, but the bill must be scored by the Congressional Budget Office at least 48 hours in advance of a vote, making today the real deadline.  If no deal is reached, panel leaders are weighing whether to hold a final public session, where each side could present and vote for its own plan, or simply offer a statement saying the effort has failed.  If the panel does come to an accord by some late and remote miracle, Congress would have until December 23rd to approve the legislative package without any amendments.

Source:  CQ

Today in Congress

The House begins work at 10:00 am.  They plan to debate and hold votes in the afternoon on a constitutional balanced budget amendment, and the first minibus appropriations bill for the Departments of Agriculture, Commerce- Justice-Science, and Transportation-HUD.  This measure also contains a new continuing resolution (CR) to extend through December 16th.  The Senate will also convene at 10:00 am and will consider the FY12 defense authorization bill.  Both chambers had originally planned to be out of session next week for the Thanksgiving holiday, but with the deadline looming for the Joint Deficit Reduction Committee to make their recommendations we expect to see members working through the weekend and into early next week.

FY12 APPROPRIATIONS ENDGAME:  It is becoming clear that appropriators will need to consider a year-end omnibus bill to get the remaining nine of 12 stalled FY12 spending bills enacted.  The leaders of the House Appropriations Committee – including our own Congressman Norm Dicks – expressed a strong desire to finish the FY12 appropriations process before they leave for the year rather than allowing it to spill into 2012.  In order to avoid a year-long CR, Congress will have to clear an omnibus.

JOINT DEFICIT REDUCTION COMMITTEE:  Negotiations over a deficit reduction agreement seemed near an impasse yesterday, with few signs that a partisan gap over raising tax revenue and cutting entitlements could be bridged.   Time is running out for the committee, which must present a plan to cut the deficit by at least $1.2 trillion by November 23rd or automatic spending cuts will be triggered (to take effect in 2013).   Realistically, the panel would need to have a deal in place this week – or by early Monday morning at the very latest – to meet a requirement that the Congressional Budget Office score it 48 hours in advance of any vote.

The obstacles to success are familiar.  Democrats continue to demand more revenue increases and Republicans are still calling for deeper cuts to health care programs.  One version of “Plan B” would have the committee vote on competing Republican and Democratic proposals, aimed at forcing the other side’s hand.  Republicans, meanwhile, have begun pondering potential fallback plans, including moving legislation that would most likely cut less than $1.2 trillion but softens the blow of the mandated cuts.  There’s even talk of coupling a deficit-reduction package with must-pass measures like unemployment insurance to sweeten the deal for Democrats and President Barack Obama.

First Conference Report for FY12

The House will vote this week on the final conference report on the FY12 Agriculture, Commerce/Justice/Science (CJS), and Transportation/Housing and Urban Development (THUD) Appropriations bill – also known as the “Mini-bus” (House Report 112-284). The package also contains a Continuing Resolution (CR) to avoid a government shutdown and continue federal operations until December 16, 2011 – or until Congress completes the remaining nine FY12 Appropriations bills. This CR is a “clean” extension and includes no new funding provisions.

Overall Funding Levels– The Conference Report upholds the overall regular (base) discretionary level of $1.043 trillion as agreed to in the Budget Control Act (BCA). The legislation also includes $2.3 billion disaster relief funding, which falls under the “disaster designation” cap set by the BCA.

Continuing Resolution – Funding for all federal programs and agencies not included in the three underlying Appropriations bills in this conference agreement will be extended until December 16, 2011. This is a date-change extension only – no other funding changes are included in the CR portion of the agreement.

Agricultural Research – The conference agreement provides more than $2.5 billion for agricultural research programs, including the Agricultural Research Service and the National Institute of Food and Agriculture. This is a reduction of $53 million from the FY11 level. Highlights include:

  • AFRI funded at $264.5 million.
  • Hatch Act funded at $264 million.
  • Grants for cooperative forestry research funded at $33 million.

Patent and Trademark Office (PTO) – The bill provides $2.7 billion for the PTO – the full requested level. This amount is $588 million, or 28%, above last year’s level. The bill also includes language that allows PTO to keep and use excess fees should actual collections exceed estimates, subject to Congressional approval of spending plans.

National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) – NIST is funded at $751 million, including an increase of $33 million above last year to support core NIST scientific research programs that help advance US competitiveness, innovation, and economic growth. In addition, funding for the Manufacturing Extension Partnership program – which provides training and technical assistance to US manufacturers – is maintained at last year’s level of $128 million.

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) – The bill provides $4.9 billion for NOAA, which is $306 million (7%) above FY11 and $592 million (-11%) below the President’s request. Within this total, National Weather Service operations are funded at $903 million – $24 million above the current year – and a total of $924 million is included for the Joint Polar Satellite System weather satellite program. The conference agreement does NOT include funding to establish a new NOAA Climate Service. The Administration requested $322 million to establish this new entity within NOAA.

National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) – NASA is funded at $17.8 billion in the conference agreement, which is $648 million below last year’s level and $924 million below the President’s request. Highlights include:

  • $5.1 billion for NASA Science programs, which is $155 million above last year’s level. The agreement accommodates cost growth in the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) by making commensurate reductions in other programs.
  • $138.4 million for NASA education research and development activities.
  • $40 million for the National Space Grant College program.

National Science Foundation (NSF) – The legislation funds NSF at $7 billion, which is $173 million above last year’s level and $734 million below the President’s request. Within this funding, NSF’s core research program is increased by $155 million to enhance basic research critical to innovation and U.S. economic competitiveness.  The Major Research Equipment and Facilities Construction (MREFC) account is funded at $167.1 million, which is up $50 million from FY11.

Source:  House Rules web page, House Appropriations web page, CQ

This Week in Washington DC

Happy Monday morning!  It will be a busy week in Washington, DC with the continuing resolution (CR) expiring on Friday, appropriators scrambling to approve at least one “mini-bus” before week’s end, the Joint Deficit Reduction Committee deadline looming next week, the House taking action on a balanced budget amendment, and Obama announcing the next phase of his “We Can’t Wait” agenda.

Super Committee

Although the bipartisan panel officially has until November 23rd to make their recommendations, it would take time to write legislative language and have it officially analyzed by the Congressional Budget Office by that deadline, as is required by the August debt limit law (PL 112-25) that created the committee. This means that the group will need to have the outlines of a deal in place by the end of this week.  On a positive note, members of the bipartisan panel have recently indicated their willingness to compromise on issues important to each party – such as increasing revenues and curtailing entitlements. Republicans for the first time have opened the door to an increase in new tax revenue, while Democrats have proposed deeper spending cuts, which could include both Medicare and Medicaid. Despite that progress, both parties rejected proposals leaked last week that contained those concessions, each side saying that the other’s plan had not offered enough.  

First Mini-Bus:  Agriculture, Commerce-Justice-Science, and Transportation-HUD

Appropriators are expected to file a conference report Monday on the first mini-bus of FY12 spending bills, setting the stage for Congress to clear it by week’s end.  The package contains roughly $127.8 billion in discretionary appropriations for the Agriculture, Commerce-Justice-Science, and Transportation-HUD spending bills for FY12.  It is expected to be passed first by the House and then by the Senate.  The largely non-controversial bundle will contain a new CR to keep government running through mid-December, since the current stopgap measure expires on Friday.  

Second Mini-Bus:  Energy-Water, Financial Services, and State-Foreign Operations

The Senate will begin debating the second mini-bus package this week, and hope to take action on the measure next week before leaving for the Thanksgiving holiday.  The package, which includes the Energy-Water, Financial Services, and State-Foreign Operations spending measures, would provide a total of $129.5 billion for the various agencies in FY12.  In a sign of bipartisan support, 81 senators backed cloture on the measure last week but support for bringing the bill to the floor may mask stumbling blocks that lie in controversial amendments, which are expected to target both funding levels and policy provisions in the bills.

Balanced Budget Amendment

House leaders plan to bring up for consideration a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution.  This measure will be a more “traditional” version rather than one that mandates spending caps and requires a supermajority for raising taxes.  Supporters of the traditional balanced-budget amendment, which requires that outlays do not exceed revenues and a three-fifths majority to raise the debt ceiling, emphasize that the same version passed in the House in 1995 with 300 votes, including 72 Democratic supporters. The vote, scheduled for later this week, will fulfill a requirement of the August debt limit law and also satisfy members of the House Republican conference who are eager to back it.  Constitutional amendments require a two-thirds majority to pass either chamber, which is 290 votes in the House and 67 votes in the Senate.

Obama’s “We Can’t Wait” Issue of the Week:  Healthcare Workforce

According to the Washington Post, the Obama administration will announce today as much as $1 billion to hire, train, and deploy healthcare workers, part of the President’s broader “We Can’t Wait” agenda to bolster the economy after his jobs bill stalled in Congress last month.  Grants can go to doctors, community groups, local government, and other organizations that work with patients in federal healthcare programs such as Medicare and Medicaid.  The funds are for experimenting with different ways to expand the healthcare workforce while reducing the cost of delivering care.  There will be an emphasis on speed, with new programs expected to be running within six months of funding.   The Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation, created as part of the Affordable Care Act, will administer and oversee the program, called the Health Care Innovation Challenge

Sources:  CQ, Washington Post, Politico

Senate, House Resolutions Recognize UW 150th

Resolutions were introduced in both the House and the Senate (H.Res.458 and S.Res.313) recognizing the UW’s 150th year and its’ contributions to Washington state and the nation.

The Senate resolution – introduced by Senator Cantwell and cosponsored by Senator Murray, passed the chamber this morning by unanimous consent.

The House Resolution was introduced by Congressman McDermott and cosponsored by Representatives Smith, Larsen, Inslee, Dicks, Reichert, and Herrera Beutler.

Link to Cantwell Press Release